Activity Number:
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31
- Methodological Advancements in Biostatistics
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Type:
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Contributed
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Date/Time:
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Sunday, July 30, 2017 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
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Sponsor:
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ENAR
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Abstract #322793
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Title:
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Tukey G-And-H Autoregressive Processes for Non-Gaussian Time Series
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Author(s):
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Yuan Yan* and Marc G. Genton
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Companies:
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KAUST and KAUST
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Keywords:
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Non-Gaussian ;
Heavy tails ;
Skewness ;
Time series ;
Tukey g-and-h transformation ;
Trans-Gaussian
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Abstract:
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We construct a flexible autoregressive model that can adapt to time series data with features of skewness and heavy tails. Our model is based on the Tukey g-and-h transformation. We develop efficient algorithms for parameter estimation, order selection and prediction for our non-Gaussian time series model. We illustrate the estimation and prediction performance of our new model by a simulation study. We demonstrate the advantage of our model on hourly wind speed data and compare it with prediction based on other transformations.
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Authors who are presenting talks have a * after their name.