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Activity Number: 31 - Methodological Advancements in Biostatistics
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Sunday, July 30, 2017 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
Sponsor: ENAR
Abstract #322793
Title: Tukey G-And-H Autoregressive Processes for Non-Gaussian Time Series
Author(s): Yuan Yan* and Marc G. Genton
Companies: KAUST and KAUST
Keywords: Non-Gaussian ; Heavy tails ; Skewness ; Time series ; Tukey g-and-h transformation ; Trans-Gaussian
Abstract:

We construct a flexible autoregressive model that can adapt to time series data with features of skewness and heavy tails. Our model is based on the Tukey g-and-h transformation. We develop efficient algorithms for parameter estimation, order selection and prediction for our non-Gaussian time series model. We illustrate the estimation and prediction performance of our new model by a simulation study. We demonstrate the advantage of our model on hourly wind speed data and compare it with prediction based on other transformations.


Authors who are presenting talks have a * after their name.

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