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Sunday, 07/31/2011
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Incorporating Auxiliary Information for Improved Prediction in High Dimensional Datasets: An Ensemble of Shrinkage Approaches
Philip Boonstra, University of Michigan; Bhramar Mukherjee, University of Michigan; Jeremy Michael George Taylor, University of Michigan; Stephen Gruber, University of Michigan; Mef Nilbert, Copenhagen University Hospital; Victor Moreno, Catalan Institute of Oncology and University of Barcelona
2:25 PM
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Strategy for a Sensitivity Analysis of Protein Role Prediction Algorithm
Liliana López-Kleine, Universidad Nacional de Colombia; Piedad Castro-Torres, Universidad Nacional de Colombia; Natalia Rojas-Perilla, Universidad Nacional de Colombia
2:35 PM
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Hospital Re-Admission Risk Prediction and Stratification
Donghui Wu, Elsevier/MEDai; Ognian Asparouhvo, Elsevier/MEDai
2:35 PM
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Dynamic Model Averaging in the Context of Prequential Prediction
Jennifer Clarke, University of Miami; Chi Wai Yu, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology; Bertrand Salem Clarke, University of Miami
3:05 PM
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Filtered Kriging for Spatial Data with Heterogeneous Measurement Error Variances
William F. Christensen, Brigham Young University
3:05 PM
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Comparative Benefits for Disease Prevention of Improved Interventions Versus More Discriminating Models of Disease Risk
Mitchell Gail, National Cancer Institute
4:05 PM
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Statistics and Complex Networks: The Next Frontier
Eric Kolaczyk, Boston University
4:05 PM
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To Survive or to Fail: What Is the Question?
Refik Soyer, The George Washington University
4:05 PM
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Automatic Forecasting of Double Seasonal Time Series with Applications on Mobility Network Traffic Prediction
Shu-Ngai Yeung, AT&T Labs Research; Guang-Qin Ma, AT&T Labs Research; Tom S. Au, AT&T Labs Research
4:20 PM
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A Class of Inference Procedure for Comparing Risk Scoring Systems Beyond the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve Paradigm in Survival Analysis
Hajime Uno, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute; Lu Tian, Stanford University; Tianxi Cai, Harvard University; LJ Wei, Harvard University
4:55 PM
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Breast Cancer Risk Prediction with Heterogeneous Risk: Profiles According to Breast Cancer Subtypes
Bernard Rosner, Channing Laboratory; Rulla Tamimi, Channing Laboratory; Graham Colditz, Washington University at St. Louis; Susan Hankinson, Channing Laboratory; Robert Glynn, Brigham and Women's Hospital
4:55 PM
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Two Criteria for Evaluating Risk Prediction Models
Ruth Pfeiffer, National Cancer Institute; Mitchell Gail, National Cancer Institute
5:20 PM
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Simultaneous Grouping Pursuit and Feature Selection Over an Undirected Graph
Yunzhang Zhu, University of Minnesota; Xiaotong Shen, University of Minnesota; Wei Pan, University of Minnesota
5:25 PM
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Monday, 08/01/2011
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The Practical Effect of Batch on Genomic Prediction
Hilary Parker, The Johns Hopkins University; Jeff Leek, The Johns Hopkins University; Rafael Irizarry, The Johns Hopkins University
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Implementing Random Forests for Hockey Hall of Fame Induction Prediction: Applications to Language-Based Discrimination
Brian M. Mills, University of Michigan; Steven Salaga, University of Michigan
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Prediction Region as a Quality Measure for Dose-Response Curves
Nan Song, Precision Therapeutics, Inc.; Zhewen Fan, Precision Therapeutics, Inc.; Zhibao Mi, VA Cooperative Studies Program; Kui Shen, Precision Therapeutics, Inc.; Joseph Collins , VA Cooperative Studies Program; Gong Tang, University of Pittsburgh
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Lifetime Predictive Density Estimation in Accelerated Degradation Testing for Lognormal Response Distributions with an Arrhenius Rate Relationship
Steven Michael Alferink, Missouri University of Science and Technology; V. A. Samaranayake, Missouri university of Science and Technology
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Hot Topics in Genetic Epidemiology
Hongyu Zhao, Yale University
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Sparse Bayesian Semiparametric Predictive Modeling with Applications in Unobserved Dose-Response Prediction
Ben Haaland, Duke University
8:35 AM
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The Role of the Cutoffs in Developing the Genomic Classifier for Clinical Utility Assessment
Samir Lababidi, U.S. Food and Drug Administration; Sue-Jane Wang, U.S. Food and Drug Administration/CDER
8:35 AM
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An Alternative Claim Amount Prediction for Deductible Insurance Policies
Heungsun "Sunny" Park, Hankuk University of Foreign Studies; Yongbum Jun, National Agricultural Cooperative Federation
9:05 AM
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Accelerometer-Based Prediction of Activity for Epidemiological Research
Jiawei Bai, The Johns Hopkins University; Ciprian Crainiceanu, The Johns Hopkins University; Brian Caffo, The Johns Hopkins University; Thomas A. Glass, The Johns Hopkins University
9:20 AM
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A Finite Mixture Model to Refine Risk Stratification in Multiple Myeloma
Pingping Qu, Cancer Research and Biostatistics (CRAB)
9:50 AM
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Model Prediction of the Length of Cancer Prior to Diagnosis with Application to Cancer Registry Data
Diana L. Nadler, University at Albany; Igor Zurbenko, The State University of New York at Albany
10:05 AM
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Predicting the Future of Genetic Risk Prediction
Nilanjan Chatterjee, National Cancer Institute; JuHyun Park, National Cancer Institute; Mitchell Gail, National Cancer Institute
10:35 AM
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On Some Properties of Generalized Linear Mixed Models for Spatial Count Data
Victor De Oliveira , The University of Texas at San Antonio
10:35 AM
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Spatial Prediction Variance Estimation based on Generalized Degrees of Freedom
Roberto Rivera, University of Puerto Rico at Mayaguez
10:50 AM
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Risk Prediction with Genome-Wide Association Studies
Tianxi Cai, Harvard University; Jessica Minnier, Harvard University
11:05 AM
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An Empirical Best Linear Unbiased Prediction Approach to Small-Area Estimation of Crop Parameters
Michael E. Bellow, U.S. Department of Agriculture; Partha Lahiri, University of Maryland
11:20 AM
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Birds of a Feather Shop Together: Predicting Adoption with Social Networks
Sharad Goel, Yahoo Research
11:35 AM
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A Comparison of Spatial Prediction Techniques Using Both Hard and Soft Data
Megan Liedtke Tesar, University of Nebraska at Lincoln; David Marx, University of Nebraska at Lincoln; Steve Kachman, University of Nebraska at Lincoln
12:05 PM
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Resolving the Structure of Interactions with Hierarchical Agglomerative Clustering
Yongjin Park, The Johns Hopkins University
2:25 PM
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The Bowl Championship Series: Still Crazy After All These Years
Hal Stern, University of California at Irvine
2:35 PM
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Exploring New Models for Population Prediction in Detecting Demographic Phase Change for Sparse Census Data
Arindam Gupta, Burdwan University
2:50 PM
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Obtaining Prediction Intervals for FARIMA Processes Using the Sieve Bootstrap
Maduka N. Rupasinghe, Missouri University of Science and Technology; Purna Mukhopadhyay, University of Kansas; V. A. Samaranayake, Missouri university of Science and Technology
2:50 PM
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Landmark Prediction of Survival Incorporating Short-Term Event Information
Layla Parast, Harvard University; Su-Chun Cheng, Dana Farber Cancer Institute; Tianxi Cai, Harvard University
3:05 PM
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Risk Classification with an Adaptive Naive Bayes Kernel Machine Model
Jessica Minnier, Harvard University; Tianxi Cai, Harvard University; Jun Liu, Harvard University
3:25 PM
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Tuesday, 08/02/2011
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Predicting Spring Wheat Falling Number in Finland
Timo Hurme, University of Turku; Pirjo Peltonen-Sainio, MTT Agrifood Research Finland; Lauri Jauhiainen, MTT Agrifood Research Finland
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Sieve Bootstrap Prediction Intervals for Multivariate ARMA Processes with Non-Gaussian Innovations
Purna Mukhopadhyay, University of Kansas; V. A. Samaranayake, Missouri university of Science and Technology
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Binary Prediction to Minimize Total Risk
Kentaro Akashi, Institute of Statistical Mathematics; Yoshinori Kawasaki, Institute of Statistical Mathematics
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Prediction Intervals For The Generalized Linear Mixed Model'
Chenghsueh Yang, UCR
8:35 AM
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On Bayesian Inference and Prediction for Computer Software
Nuria Torrado, Universidad Carlos III; Rosa E. Lillo, Universidad Carlos III; Michael P. Wiper, Universidad Carlos III
8:35 AM
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Propensity Score Adjustment for Nonignorable Nonresponse
Minsun Kim Riddles, Iowa State University; Jae-kwang Kim, Iowa State University
8:50 AM
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Sharp Identification Regions in Models with Convex Moment Predictions
Arie Beresteanu, University of Pittsburgh; Francesca Molinari, Cornell University; Ilya Molchanov, University of Bern
9:05 AM
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Compare Predicted Counts Between Groups of Zero-Truncated Poisson Regression Model Based on Recycled Predictions Method
Yan Wang, University of California at Los Angeles; Michael Ong, University of California at Los Angeles; Honghu Liu, University of California at Los Angeles
9:05 AM
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Testing for Absence of Efficient Combination Gains
Pablo Pincheira, Central Bank of Chile
9:20 AM
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Universal Dependency Prediction and Variable Selection with the Mira
Hesen Peng, Emory University; Tianwei Yu , Emory University
9:35 AM
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Autoregressive Models for Count Time Series
Konstantinos Fokianos, University of Cyprus
10:35 AM
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Predicting Analysis Time in Event-Driven Clinical Trials with Event-Reporting Lag
Jianming Wang, Novartis Oncology; Chunlei Ke, Amgen Inc.; Qi Jiang, Amgen Inc.; Charlie Zhang, Exelixis; Steve Snapinn, Amgen Inc.
10:35 AM
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Prediction Accuracy of Linear Models for Paired Comparisons in Sports
Victor Chan, Western Washington University
10:35 AM
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Generation of Prediction Intervals to Assess Data Quality in the Distribute System Using Quantile Regression
Ian Painter, University of Washington; Julie Eaton, University of Puget Sound; Debra Revere, University of Washington; Bill Lober, University of Washington; Donald Olson, International Society of Disease Surveillance
11:15 AM
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Statistics in the Ballroom: Rankings, Voting, Fairness, Prediction, and Quantifying the Palin Effect on 'Dancing with the Stars'
Jason A. Gershman, Nova Southeastern University
11:35 AM
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Bayesian Nonparametric Methods for Protein Structure Prediction
Kristin Patricia Lennox, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory; David B. Dahl, Texas A & M University; Marina Vannucci, Rice University; Ryan Day, University of the Pacific; Jerry W. Tsai, University of the Pacific
2:25 PM
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Using Bayesian Method to Predict Responders Based on Clinical Scores in the Initial Weeks of Treatment in a Phase II Multiple Sclerosis Trial
Dazhe Wang, sanofi-aventis; Lynn Wei, sanofi-aventis
2:35 PM
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Response-Adaptive Regression for Longitudinal Data
Shuang Wu, University of Rochester; Hans-Georg Mueller, University of California at Davis
3:05 PM
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Is Sparseness the Answer to Model Selection as Well as Prediction?
Peter J. Bickel, University of California at Berkeley; Ya'akov Ritov, Hebrew University
3:20 PM
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Misuse of Delong Test to Compare AUCs for Nested Models
Olga Demler, Boston University; Michael Pencina, Boston University; Ralph B. D'Agostino Sr., Boston University
3:20 PM
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Wednesday, 08/03/2011
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On Non-parametric Bayesian Regression in Cardiovascular Disease Risk Assessment
Olli Saarela, McGill University; Elja Arjas, University of Helsinki
8:35 AM
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Prediction Biomarkers for Safety or Efficacy
Estelle Russek-Cohen, U.S. Food and Drug Administration; Rong Tang , U.S. Food and Drug Administration
8:55 AM
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The Effect of Hazard Assumptions on Split Selection Criteria and Predictive Error in Survival Trees
Brian White, University of South Florida
9:05 AM
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A Gaussian Markov Random Fields Approach to Integrating Multiple Climate Model Output
Shannon Neely, Brigham Young University; William F. Christensen, Brigham Young University; Stephan Sain, National Center for Atmospheric Research
9:15 AM
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Selecting Linear Models Under the Bayesian Paradigm with Focus on Good Prediction Over a User-Specified Distribution on the Covariate Space
Adam Lee Pintar, National Institute of Standards and Technology; Christine Anderson-Cook, Los Alamos National Laboratory; Huaiqing Wu, Iowa State University
9:20 AM
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Ranking Teams in the NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament
Mark Brown, The City University of New York; Joel Sokol, Georgia Institute of Technology
9:35 AM
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Convergence and Prediction of Principal Component Scores in High-Dimensional and Ultra-High Dimensional Settings
Seunggeun Lee, Harvard University
9:35 AM
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Estimation of Finite Population Domain Means: Then and Now
Jiming Jiang, University of California at Davis; Thuan Nguyen, Oregon Health & Science University
10:35 AM
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Field-Failure Predictions Based on Failure-Time Data with Dynamic Covariate Information
William Q. Meeker, Iowa State University; Yili Hong, Virginia Tech
10:35 AM
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Interchangeability Among Confidence, Prediction, and Tolerance Intervals
Harry Yang, MedImmune, Inc.; Lanju Zhang, MedImmune, Inc.
11:20 AM
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A Discussion of Current Applications and Statistical Issues in Genomic Prediction of Complex Traits and Diseases
Christine Woods Duarte, University of Alabama at Birmingham; Gustavo de los Campos, University of Alabama at Birmingham
2:25 PM
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Service Life Prediction Using Accelerated Degradation Data from Laboratory Testing and Outdoor Weathering Data
Yili Hong, Virginia Tech; William Q. Meeker, Iowa State University
2:35 PM
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Uncertainty and Standard Errors in Agent-Based Disease Projections
Georgiy Bobashev, RTI International; R. Joey Morris, RTI International
2:50 PM
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Techniques for High Accuracy in Estimation of the Mean Squared Prediction Error in General Small-Area Model
Ansu Chatterjee, University of Minnesota; Partha Lahiri, University of Maryland
3:05 PM
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Tree-Based Time Varying-Coefficient Regression For Product Demand Prediction
Jay Wang, Hewlett Packard Laboratories; Kay-Yut Chen, Hewlett Packard Laboratories; Guillermo Gallego, Columbia University
3:05 PM
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Predicting Complex Human Traits Using Whole-Genome Markers: Proof of Principle with Human Height and Human Longevity
Gustavo de los Campos, University of Alabama at Birmingham; Yann Klimentidis, University of Alabama at Birmingham; Robert Makowsky, University of Alabama at Birmingham; Ana Ines Vazquez, University of Alabama at Birmingham; Nicholas M. Pajewski, Wake Forest University; Christine Woods Duarte, University of Alabama at Birmingham; David B. Allison, University of Alabama at Birmingham
3:05 PM
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Clustering Based Small Area Estimation: An Application to MEAP Data
Taps Maiti, Michigan State University
3:20 PM
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A Two-Step Modeling Strategy for Testing and Estimating Genetic Susceptibility to the Ill-Effects of Adiposity: Illustration in an Outbred F2 Mice Population
Guo-Bo Chen, University of Alabama at Birmingham; Katherine H. Ingram, University of Alabama at Birmingham; Gustavo de los Campos, University of Alabama at Birmingham; Nengjun Yi, University of Alabama at Birmingham; Xiang-Yang Lou, University of Alabama at Birmingham; Daniel Pomp, The University of North Carolina; David B. Allison, University of Alabama at Birmingham
3:25 PM
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Thursday, 08/04/2011
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Bayesian Uncertainty Analysis of PBPK Model Predictions for Permethrin in Rats
Jimena Davis, Environmental Protection Agency; Rogelio Tornero-Velez, Environmental Protection Agency; John Wambaugh, Environmental Protection Agency; Rhyne Woodrow Setzer, Environmental Protection Agency
8:35 AM
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Dynamic Variable Selection for Corporate Bankruptcy Prediction
Yan Yu, University of Cincinnati; Shaonan Tian, University of Cincinnati; Hui Guo, University of Cincinnati
9:05 AM
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Biomarker Identification and Patient Condition Prediction Based on Gene-Expression Pattern from Two Case Studies
Yushi Liu, The Lovelace Respiratory Research Institute; Joe Verducci, The Ohio State University
9:15 AM
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Estimating Population-Level Trends in Cardiometabolic Risk Factors Using Disparate Data Sources
Mariel McKenzie Finucane, Harvard School of Public Health; Christopher Joseph Paciorek, Harvard School of Public Health; Goodarz Danaei, Harvard School of Public Health; Majid Ezzati, Imperial College London
9:15 AM
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A Stochastic Universal Cancer Classifier
Jeff Leek, The Johns Hopkins University; Hector Corrada Bravo, University of Maryland; Vasyl Pihur, The Johns Hopkins University; Matthew Nicholson McCall, University of Rochester Medical Center ; Rafael Irizarry, The Johns Hopkins University
9:25 AM
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Predicting Activity Cliffs: Can We Use Machine Learning for Special Cases?
Rajarshi Guha, National Institutes of Health
9:35 AM
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Predicting Race Times for Motorcycle Grand Prix Racing
Leanne Streja, University of California at Los Angeles; Robert E. Weiss, University of California at Los Angeles; Catherine Ann Sugar, University of California at Los Angeles
9:35 AM
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Prediction of Phase III Survival Outcomes Using Phase II Surrogate Marker Results Through Modeling and Simulation
Yi Liu, Millennium: The Takeda Oncology Company; Mingxiu Hu, Millennium: The Takeda Oncology Company ; Shan Yang, Iowa State University; Guohui Liu, Millennium: The Takeda Oncology Company ; Hongliang Shi, Millennium: The Takeda Oncology Company
10:35 AM
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