Online Program

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Wednesday, January 10
Wed, Jan 10, 5:30 PM - 7:00 PM
Crystal Ballroom CD & Prefunction
Welcome Reception & Poster Session I

Modifications to a stepped wedge trial design to separate the effects of temporal improvement in treatment and time trend while increasing study power (304261)

Anna E Baron, VA Eastern Colorado Healthcare System, University of Colorado School of Public Health 
Liron Caplan, VA Eastern Colorado Healthcare System, University of Colorado School of Medicine 
*Thomas J Glorioso, VA Eastern Colorado Healthcare System 
Gary K Grunwald, VA Eastern Colorado Healthcare System, University of Colorado School of Public Health 

Keywords: Trial design, time trend, power

Stepped wedge designed trials are a popular alternative to cluster randomized trials because roll-out of the intervention to sites is staggered over time and all sites receive the intervention by the final roll-out period. Also, multiple roll-out periods allow the intervention to be refined to become more effective over time. In a traditional stepped wedge design, it is necessary to adjust for the effect of time on outcomes; however, a temporal increase in treatment effect can be partially confounded with time trend since all sites will eventually receive the intervention. This limitation may be overcome by modifying the design to include sites that act strictly as controls and whose data are often easily obtained through the electronic health record. Through simulation, we explore the reduction in bias in the estimate of a treatment effect that increases over time by including these strictly control sites. We further assess how power in the study increases through both inclusion of additional sites and more accurate estimation of treatment effect. We illustrate use of such designs in a trial aimed at monitoring and improving medication adherence in heart disease patients.