Targeted Maximum Likelihood Based Super Learning: Assessing Effects in RCT and Observational Studies
View Presentation *Mark van der Laan, University of California, Berkeley Keywords: In this talk we present targeted maximum likelihood based estimators of a causal effect defined in realistic semiparametric models for the data generating experiment, that takes away the need for specifying regression models. Two fundamental concepts underlying this methodology are careful definition of the target parameter of the data generating distribution in a realistic semiparametric model, super Learning, i.e., the very aggressive use of cross-validation to select optimal combinations of many candidate estimators, and subsequent targeted maximum likelihood estimation to target the fit towards the causal effect/target parameter of interest. We demonstrate the performance in simulation studies. We also illustrate this method for assessing causal effects of treatment on clinical outcomes in RCT and observational studies in HIV.
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Key Dates
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April 30 - May 22, 2013
Invited Abstract Submission Open -
June 4, 2013
Online Registration Opens -
August 9 - August 23, 2013
Invited Abstract Editing -
August 23, 2013
Short Course materials due from Instructors -
August 26, 2013
Housing Deadline -
September 9, 2013
Cancellation Deadline and Registration Closes @ 11:59 pm EDT -
September 16 - September 18, 2013
Marriott Wardman Park, Washington, DC